söndag 9 juni 2013

3D Printing - ARCAM mfl

Jag har sett Arcams starka kursutveckling, på över 700% på 12 månader, utan att ha varit insatt i bolagets verksamhet.






Nu lyssnade jag nyss på reklam från Motley Fool där de vill att man ska betala för att få förslag på aktier inom 3D Printing att inverstera i. Reklamen - länk.De hänvisar till David Gardner som nu tror på 3D Printing.

Jag är djupt imponerad av utvecklingen av Arcam, och om branschen ännu bara är i sin linda så är det inte för sent att hoppa på tåget "3D Printing". 


Hittade en gammal artikeln från december 2012 - som tar upp Arcam som en av de 4 aktieförslagen:

Top 4 Best 3D Printing Stocks to invest in…

  1.  Organovo Holdings, Inc.  (ONVO.PK)  is a promising bet in the Bio Printing arena develops NovoGen three-dimensional (3D) human tissue printing technology for creating tissue on demand for research and surgical applications. NovoGen’s 3D printing technology is a platform that works across various tissue and cell types, it was established in 2007 and is based in San Diego, California.
  2. Hewlett-Packard Company (HP) with a well balanced assortment of activities, is a provider of technologies, products, software solutions, and services to small- and medium-sized businesses (SMBs), large enterprises, including the Government, health and education sectors as well.
  3. 3D Systems (DDD) are into building 3D printers for last 25 years, I follow them but never recommended them, they can print composites, metal, or plastics, and they have a broad range of printers from personal to production, $ 8 million in debt and over $ 79 million in cash with a Market Cap of $ 900 million (Sexy Statistics Indeed)
  4. Sweden-based Arcam is  undeniably much smaller. According to Seeking Alpha, their market capitalization is only USD$46M, while Stratasys and 3D Systems USD$1,680M and USD$2,690M respectively. However, Arcam is viewed as a possible investment opportunity, and perhaps as an acquisition target by one of the other bigger players.


En lite nyare artikeln från 10 april i år rekommenderar även den 3D Systems mfl:

3 Stocks to Benefit From the 3D Printing Boom


Earnings overview
ExOne (NASDAQ: XONE) is a manufacturer and distributor of three-dimensional printers and printing accessories. It operates in the Americas, Europe, and Asia. It serves companies in various industries, supporting prototype, production, and other parts manufacturing.
It posted $12.7 million in revenue for the fourth quarter ending Dec. 31 last year. This is a huge growth of 370% from the same quarter the previous year. On this revenue, the company earned $900,000 in net income for the quarter.
This translates to roughly $0.07 in earnings per share for the company’s 13.8 million shares. Wall Street analysts were expecting $0.08 on a per share basis. The company lost about $10.7 million over the course of the year, though. Total revenue came in at $28.6 million as the new orders came in.
Operations breakdown

More than half of sales last year came from new machines. ExOne sold a total of 13 three-dimensional printing machines in 2012. The average price of each machine was $1.2 million. Because the company is so small, it benefits drastically from a slight increase in sales. If just one more printer is sold, the overall revenue could grow by a potential 4.2%.
46% of all sales were for printing supplies. As more printers are sold, supplies sales will grow. It makes sense that more revenue would come from printers at the beginning. Residual revenue will be made primarily from supplies, while one-time large revenue will be earned from actual printers. As the capabilities of three-dimensional printing become popular, this company will continue to see higher revenue.
Also, gross margins improved from 23.8% in 2011 to 42.4% in 2012. This is largely due to the increase in printer sales. The company has higher margins on the total machine than it does on accessories and supplies.
As the market and demand for three-dimensional printers grows this year, so will the stock price of this company. A one-year price target is over 10% higher than its current valuation. But this will happen only if the company can manage growth and enter in to full-year profitability.
It will have to face competition, as well.

3D Systems (NYSE: DDD)
3D Systems offers three-dimensional printing to both companies and consumers. It has national distribution and offers ancillary services around prototyping, product building, and other manufacturing.
This company has been the market leader for 3D printing and witnessed rapid growth in 2012. Its revenue grew 53% to $353 million for the year. Its net income increased even more, jumping to $67.9 million. This represents a gross margin of 51.34% for the trailing twelve months. It is higher than ExOne due to its longer operations and better position in the market.
The company has had such strong growth that investors are worried about sustainability. Management announced an expected growth of 24% next year. This is on track with industry growth. While impressive, if the company only maintains 24% growth, it is barely keeping up. Still, this company is rated as a strong buy. It is an industry leader in a growing industry. It may lose potential market share to companies like ExOne, but it will still grow for the next few years.
Stratasys (NASDAQ: SSYS)
Stratasys is the second largest company in this industry, right behind 3D Systems. For 2012, the company saw revenue growth of 30%. This is the lowest revenue growth of the group. But, it may have the ability to continue at a stable growth rate for the next few years.
Its gross margins are also strong at 51%. After the Objet merger, the company’s market cap grew by about $1.4 billion. With this merger having been completed, full year revenue is expected to be $420 million this year, a major jump from last year’s $215 million.
Because of the company’s steady growth in the past and new size due to its acquisition activities, the stock has a large upside potential this year.
This industry is likely to grow 25% annually for the next six years. Global 3D printing will be a $3.1 billion industry by 2016 and near $20 billion by 2020. This is a great industry for investors to take a look as it rapidly grows and becomes a game changer. 
The right pick
Investors really can't go too wrong with any of these stocks. ExOne is new and exciting, and has a lot of growth potential. But, with a fresh IPO, there is some inherent price and control risk. Stratasys will see some excellent growth after its merger, and may take away market share from the leader -- 3D Systems.
My pick for this lot is 3D Systems. It is the most established and has steady growth. The company serves both companies and individuals, so it is slightly more diversified. It will likely lose some market share in the next year, but total industry growth will more than make up for it.

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